Micromort

A micro- Mort is a measure of risk and likely refers to a 0.000001 to die ( one in a million ). The risk -bound awareness of activities or circumstances may be specified in micro Mort. A micro probability ( microprobability ) is a probability of one in one million, that a specific event occurs; a micro Mort is accordingly the micro likelihood of death. The micro- Mort was proposed in 1980 by the decision theorist Ronald A. Howard.

Decision Analytical Application

Risk assessment

An application of micro Morts is to measure taken by personnel risk assessments. Thus, for example, consider the financial sum for which a respondent is willing to work with a probability of one to die in a million (or the sum which someone is willing to pay to avoid such a possibility ). In such direct inquiries towards large sums of money are mentioned, but for everyday decisions (such as the price to pay people for additional security of their cars are ready ) can be deduced values ​​by about $ 50 ( in 2009).

Baseline

The average risk of dying from a particular day, can be derived from the average life span. If they say, 80 years, comes to these about 29.200 days a death. This follow about 34 micro Mort per day. This is only a cross-sectional population: the number of micro Mort per day varies for populations of different ages, gender or lifestyle. Alternatively, divide ( in the United Kingdom around 2500) by the total population ( 60 million ), the number of people who die each day. Here all kinds of death are also considered. By excluding natural deaths, the risk premature death measure, which (in the UK, with about 50 non-natural deaths per day ) is about a micro- Mort.

Risk Factors

The following risk factors correspond approximately to a micro- Mort, because they trigger the causes of death listed below with a certain measurable probability:

A dive with Scuba corresponds to about five Micro Morts, a parachute jump ( in the U.S.) about 7