Colin Campbell (geologist)

Colin J. Campbell ( * 1931 in Berlin ) is an English geologist. He is the founder of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas ( ASPO ), an international network of scientists and geologists. After completing his education and promotion (1957 ) in Oxford since 1957, Campbell worked for several major oil companies, including BP, Shell. Since the late 1990s, he became known for his prediction has since repeatedly made ​​that the peak of world oil production is imminent currently directly or already exceeded. The concomitant gradual oil shortage would then lead to a rapid and dramatic increase in the price of oil products and special fuels.

In 2004 he made ​​a become known as the Rimini protocol proposal, by which the price of oil kept low and the negative effects of peak oil are to be minimized.

Campbell now lives in retirement in the Irish coastal village of Ballydehob and holds the world always talks about Peak Oil. In 2002 he published his book " oil change ", which outlines the future of oil and energy supply.

Background

Campbell is based on considerations of Marion King Hubbert, that the promotion of an oil field of a logistic distribution follows. Hubbert had the 1956 peak (peak) for the U.S. correctly predicted in 1971 and employed as reflections on a global peak. His predictions Campbell builds on our own calculations of global oil supplies, which he especially against the official data of the OPEC countries makes strong reductions and accuses them, their numbers for political and economic reasons, strongly beautiful.

For the first time Campbell had predicted the peak for 1988, and later pushed further this goal. In 2007, he went from a peak in 2011. Its earlier estimates of global production as of the date of the delivery rate maximums have repeatedly proven to be too pessimistic. So he said 1988 2007, a production of less than 50 million barrels a day ahead, in fact there were 85

Energetic Campbell challenges the assumption that the oil production could, with sufficient use of money and technology at will and be extended indefinitely. Now that the global production since 2003 despite rising demand and constantly rising prices could not be significantly extended, see Campbell's statements received increasing attention. Thus, since the warnings from the International Energy Agency IEA (2008) no longer applies Campbell's scenario of the immediately forthcoming ' peaks ' at least as far-fetched.