Wild card (foresight)

Wildcards are sudden and unexpected random events in the history and nature, which have a very low probability, but substantial changes, like a joker in the deck of cards ( in the American: wild card = Joker ). Very often they appear as disruptive events in the usual sequence.

Examples are:

Possible in the future:

  • Impact of a comet
  • Failure of the system of nuclear deterrence ( Mutual assured destruction )
  • The first contact with an intelligent extraterrestrial species, see also Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence

Historical phenomena:

  • Inventions ( wheel, radio, road transport, microelectronics )
  • Charismatic personalities that act by altering their appearance

Examples from the past:

  • Collapse of the Eastern Bloc (1989 )
  • Terrorist attacks of September 11th (2001)
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