Nate Silver

Nathaniel Read " Nate " Silver ( born January 13, 1978 in East Lansing, Michigan ) is an American statistician, Sabermetrician, pollsters, and writer. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA of, a directory named after Bill Pecota algorithm to predict the performance and professional development of baseball players.

In 2007, Silver began to publish under the pseudonym " Poblano " analyzes and forecasts for the U.S. 2008 presidential election. From March 2008 to August 2010 operational Silver launched his own website, FiveThirtyEight.com. The accuracy of his predictions of 2008 presidential elections brought Silver additional attention. The only fault was the forecast for Indiana. He predicted the winners of all 35 elections to the Senate of the United States this year. From August 2010 to July 2013 is Silver's blog on the pages of The New York Times. Silvers data journalism blog has been bought in July 2013 by ESPN and went on March 17, again in 2014 under the domain FiveThirtyEight.com online. Silver hired for a 20 -strong team of journalists and Programmiern, covering the categories of politics, business, science and life beyond sport.

In April 2009, he was named by Time Magazine as one of the world's 100 most influential people. Silver's book "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Do not" was released in September 2012.

For the 2012 presidential election Silver said the winners of all 50 states and the District of Columbia require correct.

Publications

• Nate Silver: The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail - But Some Do not. Penguin, New York 2012, ISBN 978-1-59420-411-1. German by Holger Wolandt and Lotta Ruegger: The calculation of the future. Why Most predictions are wrong and some still apply. Heyne Verlag, Munich, 2013, ISBN 978-3-453-20048-7.