Hamburg state election, 2011

  • Left: 8
  • GAL: 14
  • SPD: 62
  • CDU: 28
  • FDP: 9

The election to the 20th Hamburg Parliament 20 February 2011 it was decided on 15 December 2010 by the citizens after the ruling since 2008 black -green coalition was broken and the senators of the GAL in the Senate Ahlhaus resigned on 29 November 2010 had. The election resulted in the absolute majority of the SPD in the state parliament, which on 7 March 2011 Olaf Scholz, First Mayor and 23 March 2011 proposed by Senators chose him (Senate Scholz ).

At the same time new district assemblies were elected on 20 February 2011, albeit in a shortened election period to 13 June 2014.

This was once again amended electoral law in Hamburg ( with a total of 20 to be distributed at citizenship and District Assembly votes) led to several days of counting, the official final result was determined on March 4, 2011 before the citizenship on March 7, the first meeting convened.

Turnout was 57.3 percent still well below the worst result so far of 2008.

Election result

On May 15, 2011 was held in the district of Harburg, a partial re-run election in the polling stations church Hang 33 ( electoral district 71006 ) and Grumbrechtstraße 63 ( electoral district 71108 ) instead. You did not mandate change. On the other hand, there are effects in the Harburg district assembly.

Choice analysis

The SPD won 62 of 121 seats in the citizenry. With a vote share of 48.4 percent it achieved its best result since 1982. CDU lost almost half of its voting share and came up with 21.9 percent of their historic worst result. With a drop of 20.7 percentage points, the CDU suffered the highest ever loss in an election to a German state parliament at all. The heavy losses be justified by choice researchers with the failure of black -green coalition, for the voters, the CDU made ​​mainly responsible. In addition, the first mayor and CDU candidate had Ahlhaus significantly lower approval ratings than his predecessor von Beust, who resigned in August 2010. The term of office of Ahlhaus lasted less than six months, and was marked by the collapse of the black -green coalition, why could it not also benefit of incumbency.

The Greens have a vote share of 11.2 percent, a slight increase, however, they fell short of expectations and were very little benefit from the positive national trend. The GAL missed that you dial destination to be able to enter into a red-green coalition. The FDP improved to 6.7 percent and reached their best result since 1974., You could move into the citizenship first time since 2001. Your good performance was favored by the heavy losses of the CDU, which she was able to beat the generally poor West German poll numbers. The Left remained stable at 6.4 percent, its result of the previous election. In order that the party could move for the second time in a row in the citizenship. Of the remaining eight parties and electoral associations, which all failed at the five - percent threshold, only the Pirate Party with 2.1 percent achieved a noteworthy result.

After the turnout had reached a historic low already in the previous election (2008: 63.5 percent), they fell in this election again significantly from 57.3 percent. The percentage of invalid ballots increased from 1 to 3 percent.

Initial situation

In the state election on 24 February 2008, until then only reigning CDU (Senate von Beust II) had fallen from the absolute to the relative majority of seats. Mayor Ole von Beust had therefore a coalition government with the GAL formed (Senate von Beust III). According to von Beust's resignation and the election of Christoph Ahlhaus the First Mayor on August 25, 2010, the GAL was on 28 November 2010 that it has to end the coalition prematurely and called for new elections. Then the citizenship on 15 December 2010 decided unanimously in accordance with Article 11, paragraph 1 of the Constitution of the Free and Hanseatic City of Hamburg, the holding of elections on February 20, 2011.

Opinion polls were already in the dissolution of citizenship on 15 December 2010 a significant increase in votes for the SPD and GAL and expect a majority for red-green. An absolute majority of the SPD, for about 46 percent of the votes were necessary because of the electoral threshold of 5 percent, though appeared to imagine, but not sure. The return of the FDP in the citizenry was considered unlikely.

*) Including 3 % Scheuerl Party

Suffrage

2011 was the first time the newly amended hamburger franchise. Because of the Plebiscite (2004) except over the national list, even MPs were already 2008 election, was elected on the 17 newly formed constituencies in which five votes were awarded to individual candidates or the respective party list in the citizenry. A renewed referendum led to the reinforcement of personalized proportional representation, in the now and in the country list 5 votes were to be allocated ( by a cumulative effect or panaschieren ) to individual candidate or party list, while in the constituencies were now only individual candidates for election. The same was true for the elections to the District Assembly, which should, however, take place in the future at the same time for the European elections. There were thus a total of 20 votes to be awarded to the four ballots that were issued due to the numerous candidates in the form of four issues.

According Infratest dimap survey 28 per cent and 41 per cent on 10 February felt in January 2011, 15 per cent, on 2 February on the new electoral law well informed.

Parties

Political parties and electoral associations came to a country list to choose from:

A constituency association and six individual candidates participated in the election in some constituencies:

Parties who are not represented continuously since the last election in the Bundestag or a Landtag, had the approval of the country's 1000 list show signatures of support for constituency lists each 100 signatures. The Sarazzistische party - for referendums SPV Atom Stuttgart21 could not submit the required supporting signatures and has submitted a request for an extraordinary admission. In addition, application has been made for the Hamburg Constitutional Court with the aim to be freed because of the reduced lead time of this election by collecting 1,000 signatures of support. The CDU Germany Germany Party Independent Group Union Group ( THE FREE Hamburg) was by his own admission not collect sufficiently the required signatures of support. The Free Union had their participation displayed, but filed no country list. Were not admitted to choice the Germans conservatives because they had filed their notice of participation late. Only the election of District Assembly Constituency 14 entered the human economy to party (HUMAN ECONOMY ).

Constituencies and mandates

District Assembly election

Pictures of Hamburg state election, 2011

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