Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2011

  • SPD: 42
  • CDU: 41
  • Green: 18

The state election in Rhineland -Palatinate in 2011 was the 16th election to the Rhineland-Palatinate state parliament and took place on March 27, 2011. The election took place simultaneously with the state elections in Baden- Württemberg and held local elections in Hesse and one week after the state election in Saxony- Anhalt. On the same day the Lord Mayor of Pirmasens and Worms and the district administrators of the Rhein -Lahn -Kreis and the district Bernkastel -Wittlich were elected.

With a turnout of 61.8 % ( 3.6 percentage points compared to 2006), the SPD reached 35.7 %, the CDU 35.2 % and the Greens 15.4%. All other parties missed a place in the state legislature.

  • 4.1 seat allocation
  • 5.1 parties
  • 5.2 candidates
  • 5.3 Desired coalition
  • 6.1 activity

Starting position

In the state election on 26 March 2006 succeeded the SPD, with a score of nearly 800,000 Land votes to get ( 45.6 %) with 3,075,577 voters the absolute majority in the parliament. In addition to the SPD ( 53 seats) were CDU (38 seats) and the FDP represented (10 seats). The GREEN missed 4.6% of the catchment in the state legislature. Fifth Strongest force in the country was the WASG with 2.6%. Due to the fact that only three parties moved into the state legislature and a high share of votes on parties accounted who have not achieved the 5 percent threshold, resulted in a majority -forming effect, which meant that the SPD with 45.6 % of votes 52, 5 % of the seats reached. Even the part of the SPD, the election result was considered exceptional, so that you can not, expected that to hold such a result. This assessment resulted continue from the national trend of the party, although it should be noted that the results between Bundestag and European elections on the one hand and state elections on the other hand always were far apart in the last election.

In the 2009 federal election, the SPD lost in Rhineland -Palatinate against the outcome of the federal election of 2005, more than 300,000 votes. The CDU then reached in Rhineland-Palatinate 35 %, which was well ahead of the SPD ( 23.8 %). Also more than 5 % received FDP ( 16.6%), GREEN (9.7%) and The Left (9.4% ), the National Association participated as the successor of the WASG in 2011 for the first time at a state election. Strongest Party under 5 % were in the general election of 2009, the PIRATES (1.9% ), which competed for the first time to the state election in Rhineland -Palatinate, 2011.

Survey results could be expected that the SPD would lose its absolute majority in the regional elections of 2011; also a loss of relative majority was not excluded (current poll results below).

Election result

According to the official result of the vote is split as follows between the parties:

* Single applicant

The SPD lost almost 10 percentage points compared to 2006, yet a lot more than expected, the CDU won easily added and moved almost the same with the SPD. The Greens have their result of 2006 more than tripled, while the FDP just failed at the five-percent hurdle. The Left failed to reach the state legislature clearly. As Prime Minister Beck a coalition with the CDU issued a rejection, a red- green and a black -green coalition were possible. The party council of the Greens decided on the day after the election, to sound out with the SPD prospects for coalition negotiations, but also to accept a call offering the CDU.

Parties

The following parties were with their lists for state election permitted ( top candidates in brackets, numbering on the ballot ):

Here were the FDP and CDU with four district lists the other parties with country lists.

Five parties were not approved by the National Election Committee due to lack of support signatures or had withdrawn their officially announced lists: the party spreader Bible Christians, The Violet, the Pensioners' Party of Germany, the Sarazzistische party - for referendums and the Animal Protection Party.

Electioneering

The CDU top candidate in the state election in 2006, Christoph Böhringer is, since the end of 2008 alleged to have financed the then election campaign in part by taxpayers' money, in breach of the rules of party financing. CDU top candidate Julia Klöckner stressed that Böhr they " duped " and that she wanted the maximum sentence by the President of the Bundestag for their national association. A committee of the Diet, the financial behavior of the CDU on the topic, another deals with the role of Acting SPD state government in the financing of the amusement park at the Nürburgring.

The chairman of the NPD in the Westerwald district admitted to have falsified 32 supporting signatures. The constituency candidacy was thus invalid. A valid application not filed the party. The country list was not affected.

On the evening of March 16, 2011 was held for the first time in Rhineland-Palatinate, a television debate between the top candidates of the major parties, Kurt Beck and Julia Klöckner, instead. Has been transferred from SWR.

Electoral system

As in the general election, each voter has two votes. The first vote, with a direct candidate is elected, called constituency vote. With the second vote, which is here called country voice, a party or constituency association is chosen and this is decisive for the allocation of seats in the parliament.

Seat allocation

Be considered in the allocation of seats only those parties which received at least 5 % of the national vote. A basic mandate clause as for the parliamentary elections do not exist. The number of seats is basically 101 with the seats, which are occupied by direct candidates, whose party has failed at the five - percent threshold, for example, due to non - participation or non - approval, or party affiliation have set out from the total number be deducted. 51 seats are filled by direct mandates. Received by one party more direct mandates as their seats on the basis of proportional representation to stand, the other parties receive compensatory seats. This may potentially increase the total number of seats.

For the distribution of seats on the provincial and district lists the Divisor was held the previous proportional method according to Hare / Niemeyer first introduced with standard rounding Sainte-Laguë/Schepers for state election 2011.

Pre-election polls

Parties

Several polling organizations resulted in the run-up to the state election by representative voting intention surveys.

(*) Including 2 % Rights, 1% CDU

Candidates

On the question of who would choose directly as prime minister or prime minister in the Rhineland- Palatinate, respondents answered as follows:

Desired coalition

In the polls, the question was asked by one's preferred coalition government.

Choice analysis

At first glance, the choice of national political issues have been influenced, as the research group at election polls found: education and unemployment were mentioned by 29 per cent and 21 per cent as the central problem areas of the country. Nuclear policy called only 19 percent as a key area of ​​responsibility, in contrast to the respondents in the neighboring state of Baden -Württemberg, in the 41 percent described the issue as important for there at the same time held state elections. Nevertheless, the influence of the nation-wide nuclear policy debate at the state election must not be underestimated: For 51 percent of respondents nuclear policy was ultimately a choice crucial issue.

This finding is consistent with the results of a survey of infrastructure dimap: For 38 percent of the Umwelt-/Energiepolitik was selectively critical issue, just ahead of economic policy (32 percent) and education policy (26 percent). Social justice was crucial issue for 25 percent.

Particularly when voters of the Greens and the SPD was ranked the theme "Environmental and energy policy " with 84 and 37 percent ahead of the other topics of social justice, education and economic policy. At CDU and FDP voters, however, the economic policy dominated the election with 43 ​​or 60 percent. This goes along with the fact that when the FDP those voters have turned in particular, who could not identify with the nuclear policy of the Party: The numerous FDP emigrants called mainly the energy and environmental policy as the reason for their change to another party.

The five major parties, the question of social justice was either relevant only to the voters of the Left Party.

Most voters, however, still were not influenced by the then- recurring nuclear debate itself: 32 percent of voters, and thus the largest group reported that their choice decision had been already " long time ago ". 15 percent said that they always choose the same party anyway.

Activity

Wahl-O -Mat

For a state election Wahl-O -Mat was served. He was about used 295,000 times.

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